Yemen

Explosive violence trends and patterns in Yemen (2011-2019)

  • Between 2011-2019 Yemen has seen 23,359 deaths and injuries from explosive violence
  • Of these, 68% (15,925) were civilians
  • Air-launched explosive weapons caused the most harm in this period, with 63% of civilian deaths and injuries caused by such weapons
  • 2015 was the worst year for explosive violence in Yemen

Review
Since the AOAV Explosive Violence Monitor began a decade ago, Yemen has experienced significant levels of explosive violence.

In 2011, the first Explosive Violence Monitor ranked Yemen as the 6th worst-affected state, recording 943 civilian casualties over the course of the year. Over the next three years, explosive violence was lower, with AOAV ranking Yemen as the 11th worst-affected country in 2012, the 8th in 2013 and the 9th in 2014. In these years, civilian deaths and injuries from explosive violence did not rise above 500 in a year, which, whilst representing high levels of insecurity in the country, suggested an improvement from the levels of violence recorded in 2011. From 2011-2014, violence in Yemen was perpetrated by a wide variety of actors, including al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and various separatist insurgencies, all of whom induced a continued environment of insecurity, and ongoing political instability.

However, in 2015, the security situation in Yemen collapsed completely. Early in the year, a fragile agreement between the internationally-recognised government, led by Abd Rabbo Mansur Hadi, and the leaders of the Houthi movement, who occupied much of the country, fell apart. This set off a series of violent events that escalated into full civil war between the two sides. As a result, there was a dramatic rise in the levels of explosive violence within the country, especially following the commencement of aerial strikes launched by a Saudi-led Arab coalition against Houthi rebels in March. The 2015 Explosive Violence Monitor recorded 6,286 civilian casualties caused by explosive violence, representing a drastic 1,204% increase from the previous year. As a result, AOAV cited Yemen as the second worst-affected country in 2015, behind Syria.

The damage done by the Saudi-led aerial intervention, known as Operation Decisive Storm, was particularly extreme and faced widespread criticism for its indiscriminate targeting of civilian areas and the use of internationally banned cluster bombs. In 2015, AOAV recorded that 43% of all global civilian casualties from air-launched weapons took place in Yemen. Furthermore, the figure of 3,972 civilian deaths and injuries from air-launched weapons in 2015, was ten times greater than all the combined deaths from this type of weaponry in Yemen in the previous four years of the monitor. As a result of the drastic increase in civilian casualties that took place in 2015, AOAV recorded Yemen as the fifth worst-affected country by explosive violence over the first five years of the monitor, and the second worst-affected country by air-launched weapons in the same period.

Although 2016 saw a 57% decrease in recorded civilian casualties, the 2016 Explosive Violence Monitor still placed Yemen as the third worst-affected country by explosive violence, with 2,713 civilian casualties. As in the previous year, the Saudi-led coalition remained responsible for the majority (82%) of all civilian deaths and injuries. The fall in the levels of violence can be seen as partly the result of a ceasefire that was put in place between April and August which, despite numerous violations, led to a significant decrease in explosive violence.

Yemen witnessed a further fall in the number of civilian casualties caused by explosive weaponry in 2017, despite a rise in the number of incidences of their use. The 2017 Explosive Violence Monitor recorded 1,670 civilian deaths and injuries in Yemen, representing a 38% fall from the previous year and making it the fifth worst-affected country, falling behind Afghanistan and Pakistan. In 2018, AOAV recorded similar levels of harm done by explosive violence in Yemen, documenting 1,807 civilian casualties over the course of the year. This only represented an 8% increase from the previous year, but due to falling levels of violence in other regions, the 2018 Explosive Violence Monitor, once again ranked Yemen as the third worst-affected country.

In the 2019 Explosive Violence Monitor, Yemen remained the third worst-affected country by explosive violence behind Syria and Afghanistan, despite a decrease in civilian casualties of 26% from the previous year. This fall was partly brought about by a 55% fall in civilian casualties caused by airstrikes. However, a rise in casualties caused by IEDs and shelling in the same time period meant civilian deaths and injuries remained high. It is also worth noting that the scarcity of reporters on the ground in Yemen over the past several years has made accurate data gathering extremely difficult. As such, it is likely that the figures recorded by AOAV fail to fully capture the level of violence inflicted on Yemeni civilians.

Over the nine-year course of the Explosive Violence Monitor, from 2011-2019, Yemen was the fifth worst-affected country by explosive violence, with AOAV recording 15,925 civilian deaths and injuries from explosives. Although explosive violence was common in Yemen between 2011 and 2014, the extent of violence since 2015 has been far more extreme, especially following the commencement of airstrikes by the Saudi-led coalition. 2015 was by far the worst year for explosive violence in Yemen, but high incidences in recent years, continue to reflect an unstable security situation and drive an ongoing humanitarian crisis in the country. The impacts of explosive violence, and in particular air-launched explosive weapons, on the Yemeni people have been extreme, and are likely to continue in the coming years. In particular, AOAV has tried to understand these impacts better in two recent reports on the impact of explosive violence on children in Yemen and the reverberating effects of explosive violence on agriculture in Yemen.

AOAV reports on explosive violence in Yemen include:

The impact of explosive violence on children in Yemen

The reverberating effects of explosive violence on agriculture in Yemen

In our ‘Wide Area Impact’ report, we examined the impact of airstrikes on civilians.

News: Explosive violence in Yemen